Category Archive: REIT

Dec
09
2011

Singapore REITs in the Spotlight

After Teh Hooi Ling wrote her article on the  The REIT Myth Busted, there was a lot of debate on online forums both supporting and criticizing her views.

So she came out with another article The Pros and Cons of REITs that calculates the internal rate of return of the various REITs. My guess is that she might have gotten a fair share of hate mail from her original article which was very negative on REITs. :D

Separately, regular columnist Goh Eng Yeow wrote an article this week warning about credit crunch facing REITs.

Back in 2008, many REITs had to do emergency fund raising from their unit holders as they were unable to refinance their short-term debt. It is a dangerous game that many REITs were playing back then. Having a large proportion of short-term debt and using it to finance a long-term investment.

The Business Times carried an article asking questions about corporate governance of REITs.

This was also something that was bought up in a research paper done by CFA institute which talked about poor governance in Asia-Pacific REITs. You can read about their findings and recommendations in the link below:

Asia-Pacific REITs – Building Trust through Better REIT Governance

Section four of the report provides some interesting case studies. :)

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/singapore-reits-in-the-spotlight/

Nov
30
2011

The Dividend Myth of REITs

REITs has always been a popular topic of discussion among Singapore investors who want to invest into an instrument that can give them good dividend yields.

I wrote this article Are Singapore REITs a Good Investment? last year to take a closer look at why REITs had failed to deliver on its promise of steady dividend income.

Teh Hooi Ling, Senior Correspondent at SPH, had recently done some analysis on the same topic:

The REIT Myth Busted

In the article, she wrote about how most of the REITs had taken back all the dividends they had paid out by doing rights issues.

The actual article that was published in last Saturday’s Business Times comes with a table that gave the breakdown of all the dividends that were paid out by Singapore REITs, as well as the capital that they “clawed” back from unit-holders by doing rights issue.

However, it is not an doom and gloom story for Singapore REITs investors.

While the dividend income had indeed failed for most of them, investors who had invested into more than half of the Singapore REITs from IPO and dutifully deployed capital into them to take up their rights entitlement would still have made money.

And for those who are clueless about rights issue, they would have lost a lot of money.

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/the-dividend-myth-of-reits/

Nov
23
2011

More Regulatory Guidance for REITs

It was reported that MAS was considering more regulatory guidance to REITs in order to enhance corporate governance.

I hope MAS and SGX can do more to ensure a better alignment of the interests of unit holders with the manager of the REITs and also protect the interests of minority shareholders. If you had read my other article, Are Singapore REITs a Good Investment?, you will know my reasons on why I thought some of them have been detrimental to the unit holders. There have also been some interesting comments left by the other readers.

Whatever MAS and SGX decides to do, I will continue to rely on a common sense approach to investing in REITs. At the end of the day, there is a limit to what corporate governance rules can do.

Judge the manager by not what they say, but by what they do. If they buy or sell properties excessively, I will say thanks but no thanks.

And if a particular REIT manager proves to be very good at enhancing their own earnings from a REIT, I might consider investing in them instead. :D

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/more-regulatory-guidance-for-reits/

Nov
15
2011

Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust Arbitrage Strategy

The last time round, it happened with Chartered.

This time round, it is with Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail trust.

In doing a 1-for-1 rights issue to raise almost $300 million, there is such a huge overhang of shares that the price of both Lippo Mall and their Rights have traded down over the past few days.

Investors who have no money to take up their rights issue have to either sell their shares, or sell their rights on the open market.

In today’s trading, the price of the mother share was hovering at $0.36 to $0.38 while the rights share went down to as low as $0.02. About ninety million units  of rights were traded out of the total pool of almost one billion rights.

The market is hardly efficient in the sense that many investors have chosen to sell their rights when it would have made more sense to sell the mother shares.

As each investor is able to convert their rights to the mother share at $0.31, shouldn’t they sell the mother share at $0.36 instead of selling the rights at $0.02 or even $0.026?

Ok, so the mother shares entitles you to a dividend payout of about $0.0106. Let’s analyse the numbers.

At the last closing price, mother share was at $0.365 while the rights was at $0.026.

Revenue from selling mother share at $0.365 and then using the money to subscribe for the rights = $365 – $310 = $55

Revenue from selling rights at $0.026 and getting dividend of $0.0106 = $26 + $10.6 = $36.60

If you are currently holding Lippo Malls, (assuming the price differential stays the same) you should really sell all your Lippo Malls units and buy the corresponding number of Lippo Malls R back from the market place. And then subscribe to the rights.

That is a risk free profit of almost $0.02 per share. Depending on your execution, the bid-offer spread and commission charges, the profit margin might drop to only $0.01+ but even then, it is still pure profit.

Please note that Lippo Malls trade ex-div from Wednesday which means that from the next trading day, the calculations will have to be repeated without factoring in any dividends.

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/lippo-malls-arbitrage/

May
30
2011

Perennial China Retail Trust IPO

Perennial China Retail Trust (PCRT), which deals in retail space in China, will be raising S$776.2 million in an IPO with units priced at S$0.70 each. Out of the 563,570,000 units on offer, 52,128,000 will be for the public.

The trust has an initial S$1.1 billion property portfolio comprises five properties in Shenyang, Foshan and Chengdu.

Based on the offer price of $0.70, PCRT expects to provide an annualised distribution yield of 5.30% for forecast year 2011 and 5.51% for projected year 2012.

This IPO closes on 7th June at 10am. The prospectus of the Perennial China Retail Trust can be found here:

Perennial Reit Prospectus

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/perennial-china-retail-trust/

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