Category Archive: Market/Economy

Apr
25
2012

Solving the COE Price Escalation Problem

It was reported that our March inflation figures (measured year on year) was 5.2%. Part of this increase was attributed to a sharper increase in Certificate of Entitlement (COE) prices, which led to higher car prices.

We all know that a declining COE supply had led to a huge increase in the prices of COEs.

Surely there is a better way of improving the current COE system? This is one area that the government can tweak to reduce the cost of living in Singapore.

My friend Chan Tau Chou suggested implementing some kind of balloting system to control the distribution and prices of COEs.

His point that the average family’s expenditure on the COE could be diverted to more useful purposes is something very true.

Mr Chan’s letter drew a flurry of replies, including my own. Some of these ideas are worth considering:

COE Scheme should be fairer

Social cost of high COE prices

Have balloting and bidding for COEs

Create niche category for luxury cars

After reading through the different ideas, I think the most ideal way to tackle this problem is to have separate COE categories for balloting and bidding. A good analogy would be the way HDB units are sold (balloted) while the private condominiums are sold freely.

You can read about some of my other suggestions in my letter to the ST Forum (My letter is in the background story box), which I will not repeat here due to the exclusivity clause.

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/solving-the-coe-price-escalation-problem/

Dec
01
2011

Joint Action by Central Banks to Boost USD Liquidity

In a coordinated move yesterday, The European Central Bank, U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the central banks of Canada, Japan and Switzerland announced that they would make it easier for European banks to gain access to US$ liquidity.

The central banks agreed to reduce the cost of temporary dollar loans they offer to banks — called liquidity swaps — by half a percentage point starting from next Monday.



Recently, European banks have been having trouble borrowing dollars at affordable rates due to fears about their financial health.

By having these liquidity swap agreements in place (this article gives a good explanation of how it works), The European Central Bank (ECB) will be able to get ready access to US$ to lend to European banks.

Equity markets worldwide rallied on the news. While this move solves an immediate liquidity problem, I think that the underlying solvency issues still remains intact.

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/joint-action-by-central-banks-to-boost-usd-liquidity/

Nov
18
2011

Warren Buffett CNBC Interview November 2011

Warren Buffett recently did an 3-hr interview on CNBC’s Squawk Box.

During the interview, Warren discussed his thoughts on various subjects like Europe, the housing market and financial institutions that are too big too fail. He also revealed one stock that he has been accumulating. Clue : Harold.

Here are the videos of most of the interview:

Warren Buffett on Europe & Economy



Warren Buffett: How to Fix Housing


Buffett on MF Global


Warren Buffett on Too Big to Fail and the “Harold” Hint


Warren Buffett on why he bought the stock related to “Harold”


Buffett on Investing in Infrastructure and BOA


Buffett: China & U.S. Will Get Along


The various parts of the interview can be found in the links below while the full transcript can be found here:

 

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/warren-buffett-cnbc-interview-november-2011/

Nov
14
2011

Confusion Over France Downgrade

Last Thursday, S&P caused a shock in the bond markets when it informed some of the subscribers that it had downgraded the credit rating of France.

An hour and a half after the original message was sent out, S&P sent out a clarification that the message resulted from a technical error and not from any action it intended to take against France.

French policy makers were understandably enraged and called for an investigation of the mistake.

At a time where the Eurozone was already getting very jittery over the problems of Greece and more recently Italy, this was the last thing that the markets needed. A downgrade of France’s AAA credit rating would affect the rating of the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), the bailout fund for struggling euro member countries.

Earlier in the year, S&P had downgraded the credit rating of the United States from AAA to AA+. This was followed by the resignation of its president Deven Sharma a few weeks after the downgrade.

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/confusion-over-france-downgrade/

Nov
01
2011

MF Global Files for Bankruptcy Protection

The big (and expected) news yesterday was that MF Global has declared bankruptcy.

A buyout by Interactive Brokers was abandoned at the last minute due to realisation that some money was missing from some customers accounts.

Regulators are now investigating whether MF Global diverted some customer funds to support its own trades.

The failure of MF Global has been largely blamed on their current CEO Jon S. Corzine, who joined them just last year and tried to convert MF Global from a pure brokerage house into an investment bank with its own trading desk.

The US$6.3 billion bet on European sovereign debt had turned very wrong. Interestingly, none of the sovereign debt was from Greece but the write-downs in the bonds of the other countries was enough to cause the damage.

In Singapore, the extent of the impact might be felt beyond direct customers of MF Global.

I know of at least one local brokerage house which uses MF Global as it’s CFD provider. Clients have been told earlier on to top up to a minimum margin of 25% for their existing trades or close off their positions. And then there is this note which clients of this brokerage house would have received in an email:

Please be reminded that any cash collateral furnished by you is being held with MF Global and you are taking MF Global counterparty risk.
 

I am sure many will be stunned by that revelation. Minibond saga part 2?

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/mf-global-files-for-bankruptcy-protection/

Older posts «