Tag Archive: MAS

Nov
23
2011

More Regulatory Guidance for REITs

It was reported that MAS was considering more regulatory guidance to REITs in order to enhance corporate governance.

I hope MAS and SGX can do more to ensure a better alignment of the interests of unit holders with the manager of the REITs and also protect the interests of minority shareholders. If you had read my other article, Are Singapore REITs a Good Investment?, you will know my reasons on why I thought some of them have been detrimental to the unit holders. There have also been some interesting comments left by the other readers.

Whatever MAS and SGX decides to do, I will continue to rely on a common sense approach to investing in REITs. At the end of the day, there is a limit to what corporate governance rules can do.

Judge the manager by not what they say, but by what they do. If they buy or sell properties excessively, I will say thanks but no thanks.

And if a particular REIT manager proves to be very good at enhancing their own earnings from a REIT, I might consider investing in them instead. :D

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/more-regulatory-guidance-for-reits/

Oct
28
2011

MAS Macroeconomic Review October 2011

The Macroeconomic Review is published twice a year in conjunction with the release of the MAS Monetary Policy Statement (MPS).

The purpose of the Review is to provide information on the Economic Policy Group’s background analysis and assessment of GDP growth and inflation developments in the Singapore economy, and in doing so, to share with market participants, analysts, and the wider public the basis for the policy decision articulated in the MPS.

If you don’t want to read the whole review, here are some notable quotes inside:

The immediate outlook is clouded by significant uncertainties.

The world economy has entered an uncertain phrase.

The services sector saw a sharp slowdown in hiring.

Domestic cost pressures were strong while external sources of inflation receded.

Prices also saw rapid sequential increases due largely to higher rental values amidst a tight housing market, and sharp increases in COE premiums.

Rental increases will continue given supply constraints in the HDB segment.

COE premiums will remain elevated due to further tightening of the vehicle population policy.

Inflation pressures will ease in 2012 as economic conditions weaken.

GDP growth is expected to come in at around 5% this year.

And just what is causing the supply constraints in the HDB segment? Supply is definitely being ramped up, but there is a lot of demand too.

The increase in the foreign population has moderated to 70,000 a year over the last two years compared to 114,000 annually over 2006-2009.

Now, that is a lot of population growth to cater housing for.

The latest copy of the review can be downloaded here:

MAS Macroeconomic Review October 2011

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/mas-macroeconomic-review-october-2011/

Oct
17
2011

MAS Monetary Policy Statement Oct 2011

MAS released their monetary policy statementlast Friday.

Core inflation should gradually ease from an estimated 2.3% in Q4 this year to 1.5% at the end of 2012. It is forecast to be around 1.5-2% in 2012, compared to about 2.1% in 2011.

Growth in the Singapore economy could fall below its potential rate of 3-5%.

MAS will continue with the policy of a modest and gradual appreciation of the S$NEER policy band in the period ahead. However, given the expected moderation in core inflation, the slope of the policy band will be reduced, with no change to the width of the band and the level at which it is centred.

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/mas-monetary-policy-statement-oct-2011/

Aug
04
2011

New Guidelines to Access Customer Knowledge and Experience

MAS has introduced new requirements for intermediaries to formally assess a retail customer’s investment knowledge and experience before selling certain investment products to the customer. These requirements will come into effect on 1 January 2012.

The following list of investment products are excluded from the new scheme:

  1. Shares
  2. Fully-paid depository receipts representing shares
  3. Subscription rights pursuant to rights issues
  4. Company warrants
  5. Units in business trusts
  6. Units in real estate investment trusts
  7. Debentures (other than asset-backed securities & structured notes)
  8. Life insurance policies (other than investment-linked life insurance policies)
  9. Contracts or arrangements for the purpose of foreign exchange trading (other than derivatives of foreign exchange contracts and leveraged foreign exchange trading)

Which means to say investment products like unit trusts, ETFs and investment-linked policies will fall under the new regulations.

The new regulations basically require investors to go through either a customer account review (for listed products) or customer knowledge assessment (for unlisted products) on a yearly basis.

Those who fail the customer knowledge assessment or deemed not to have the suitable knowledge will be required to go through learning modules to learn about the products. For those cases, the intermediary must offer to provide financial advice (although the investor can choose not to take up the offer of advice).

A main reason why these changes are implemented is because of the Minibond saga where many investors purchased the Minibonds via security firms and banks.

The security firms had maintained that they were only helping to execute the transactions without any advice. Investors, on the other hand, were led to those products from advertisements taken up from the financial institutions.

A consumer guide on the new changes can be found here:

Safeguards when purchasing specified investment products

Looks like a lot more paperwork needs to be done if someone wants to invest into certain investment products. However, the loophole still remains where transactions can be performed on a “without advice” basis.

My guess is that even if these measures were in place long ago, the mis-selling of Minibonds would still have occurred. After all, a process that required all the banks to conduct a “customer fact find” was already in place then.

The failure of the system then is not so much in the process, but a failure on the part of everyone (from the regulators to the intermediaries to the investors) to really understand products like the Minibond, Pinnacle Notes, etc.  No one truly understood the toxic assets that were buried deep within the product and thus the products were deemed to be suitable for conservative investors.

All were victims of a system where bonds linked to subprime mortgages were wrongly rated as AAA. An illusion where Wall Street had everyone fooled for years.

 

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/new-guidelines-to-access-customer-knowledge-and-experience/

Jul
22
2011

MAS Reports Loss of S$10b in 2010/11 Annual Report

In the latest issue of the MAS Annual Report, Singapore’s GDP forecast remains at 5-7% range, while inflation is now expected to be 4-5%.

And while MAS made investment gains of S$12.3 billion, there was an overall loss of S$10.9 billion when the investments are converted to Singapore Dollar terms. This was due to the strong appreciation of the Singapore Dollar versus the USD and Euro over the past year.

Which means that forex losses contributed to more than S$20 billion. :O

Well, at least MAS did not try to hide the losses by reporting its performance in USD terms (as what another entity tried to do).

If you look at the statement on our reserves updated by MOF very recently (because of the Presidential Election), you can see that the official size of the foreign reserves managed by MAS is S$295 billion, so the forex losses would be quite in line with the appreciation of the Singapore Dollar.

Investing in overseas assets always carries currency risks. I know a few people who like to buy US listed stocks, but personally, I seldom buy overseas stocks directly. Any investment gains (if any) would have been eroded by the strong performance of our currency in the past few years.

And being a small investor has its advantages in that the SGX already offers enough opportunities to deploy my funds to use.

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/mas-reports-loss-of-s10b-in-201011-annual-report/

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