Tag Archive: SMART Expo

Mar
28
2009

Smart Expo 2009

This weekend, the SMART Investment and International Property Expo will be held at Suntec Singapore International Exhibition & Convention Centre Hall 401. The event starts from 10am and will last till 7pm.

Besides the regular exhibitors, there were be also be free seminars given by various speakers, some of which might interest you.

The number of speakers seems to be much lesser compared to last year. There doesn’t seem to be anything exciting enough to interest me so I will be giving the event a miss this time round.

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/smart-expo-2009/

Oct
06
2008

SMART Expo 2008

SMART Expo is a 2-day Investment and International Property Expo that will be held at Suntec this coming weekend 11-12 October at Hall 401 from 10am – 7pm. Apart from the free seminars that you can attend, there are also many exhibitors who will be there promoting their property deals in Australia, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia and Thailand.

Not forgetting the Singapore market, there will be a panel discussion on the local property market scene.

To get your free pass to the SMART Expo event, you can register here.

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/smart-expo-2008/

Apr
08
2008

Masterclass – Structured Warrants Survival Kit

On the second day of the SMART Expo event, I was deciding whether to attend Masterclass: Structured Warrants Survival Kit by Simon Yung of BNP Paribas or Breaking the Millionaire Code by Thomas Mathew of IPP Financial Advisors.

As I was already familiar with warrants, the last thing I wanted to attend was another beginner class on warrants. From the writeup, it didn’t seemed like it:

  • Will the strength of warrants rise to the economic challenges ahead?
  • The DIY mini hedge fund long/short term strategy
  • How does warrant issuer make money?
  • How to identify non performing warrants?

What I was attracted to in Simon’s seminar was the DIY mini hedge fund long/short term strategy.

On the other hand, Thomas Mathew’s topic seemed pretty interesting and new to me.

  • F.L.O.W – Financial Lifestyle Organised Well
  • My Formula – Financial model
  • 2 Millionaire Code – Revealed

After thinking about it, I decided to attend Simon Yung’s warrants masterclass.

Simon started by mentioning about the uncertainties facing the current markets.

  • Decline in SIBOR
  • US subprime
  • Slowing economic growth
  • Inflationary pressures
  • Weak USD
  • Record high oil prices

In a bear market, we could profit from put warrants or make use of it to hedge our position.

DIY Mini Hedge Fund Strategy

Depending on the view you take, there are three strategies you can try.

1) Long term positive view on a stock & Near term downside

Use a long term call warrant and a short term put warrant.

2) Outperform View

This strategy helps to reduce/remove market risk.

If you think that A will outperform B, buy A call, buy B put.

If you think that B will outperform A, buy B call, buy A call.

3) Believe stock price will trade outside a certain range

Buy call and put warrants of the same stock.

Non Performing Warrants

These are the kind of warrants we are told to avoid:

  • Deep in the money or out of money
  • Short term (less than 1 month)
  • High “placeout” (turnover)

Did I learn something new from Simon? I probably did.

But I would have no way of knowing whether the other session by Thomas would be more applicable for me. Personally, I try to avoid warrants as I will have to get two bets right to make money – the direction and the time. This is something which I find difficult.

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/masterclass-structured-warrants-survival-kit/

Apr
03
2008

Leong Sze Hian on CPF Changes and implications for Financial Planning

CPF Changes : Implications for Financial Planning – This was the title of the keynote presentation that was to be delivered by Mr Leong Sze Hian, President of the Society of Financial Service Professionals. With CPF being close to everyone’s mind, it was not surprising that this seminar at the Smart Expo was fully packed.

To everyone’s great disappointment, Sze Hian could not make it for the event and had to get one of his staff to be the replacement speaker.

The presentation material was probably prepared by him as it was filled with many facts and figures, not unlike his regular contributions to the Straits Times forum.

Unfortunately, that also meant the person delivering the presentation had to go in depth to deliver the message intended. With all due respect to the replacement speaker, this was something which she failed to do. This was understandable as being a last minute replacement, she probably didn’t have enough time to prepare.

She finished her presention in half the allocated time and quickly made her exit without taking any questions from the audience. As she run through the slides pretty fast, I couldn’t take down too much notes from them. These are some which I manage to “salvage”:

  • The 3 main concerns of Singaporeans are retirement, housing and healthcare. The changes made in the 2007 Budget meant that we get more cash (from our salary) but less in CPF. This does not really address the main problems.
  • Members had an average of only $66k in their CPF accounts, with the median even less at $20k.
  • Based on half the minimum sum, we will get back $600/month (at 4%) or $720/month (at 5%) for twenty years after our retirement. With the new CPF Life scheme, we will get back $604 (for male) and $570 (for female) for life.
  • According to statistics given by the government, the life expectency of someone born in 2006 is 78 for male and 82 for female. But what is the life expectency of someone who is already 50 now?

The last point is something I am very concerned about. Formulating a new policy based on the statistics of someone born today and applying it across the board for people born decades ago. Will it make the latter better or worse off? Only time will tell.

If you are like most average people and are confused by the mind boggling choices of the CPF Life scheme, please do not hesitate to seek advice from someone who is able to understand it well.

If not, you might choose the option that doesn’t meet your needs. Remember, your CPF money is also your hard-earned money.

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/leong-sze-hian-on-cpf-changes-and-implications-for-financial-planning/

Apr
02
2008

Wong Sui Jau on Market Updates and Facing a Volatile 2008

Another speaker during the SMART Expo that pulled in the crowd was Mr Wong Sui Jau, the general manager from Fundsupermart iFAST Financial Ptd Ltd. Here are some pointers from his presentation as well as his recommended sectors for 2008.

US Economy

In the next 12 months, US will fall into a recession. Consumer sentiment is going to get worse. A large portion of these consumers are still spending on credit and paying mortgages.

High Oil Prices

  • Oil prices hit US$110 on 13 March 2008.
  • The previous two oil shocks were artificially created and the extent was greater.
  • OPEC now only produces 36% of the world’s oil and has less influence over the pricing.
  • China and other emerging market growth in economic leading to a higher demand.
  • Falling US$ also contributes to the rise in oil prices.

Star Ratings (on a scale of 1-5, 5 being overweight)

  • Emerging markets 3.5
  • Asia ex-Japan 3.5
  • US 2
  • Japan 2.5
  • Europe 3
  • India 2.0
  • China 3.0
  • Singapore 3.5
  • Hong Kong 3.0
  • South Korea 3.5
  • Taiwan 3.5
  • Thailand 4.0
  • Malaysia 3.5

Asset Allocation

  • Neutral on equites versus fixed income
  • Underweight on Japan and US
  • Overweight on Thailand (PE at 8.6 and 8.0 for 2008 and 2009) and Singapore (PE at 13)
  • For contrarian play, Singapore financial stocks can be considered as they have been beaten down quite badly due to the US subprime crisis even though their fundamentals are quite strong.

Is cash the best alternative for investors?

  • High inflation
  • Bear markets do not last forever
  • Our emotions cause us to buy high and sell low
  • Choosing to sell out of markets will only make it harder for investors to re-enter the market later

Tips for handling volatility

  • Markets cannot drop 5-10% every day.
  • Focus on long term investing
  • Diversify

Permanent link to this article: http://www.martinlee.sg/wong-sui-jau-on-market-updates-and-facing-a-volatile-2008/

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