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Hi Martin,
You’ve brought up some good points. Just an add on, not only is the word “bond” misleading, the term “perpetual” is inaccurate and potentially more damaging in distorting pricing vis-a-vis risk.
I understand from the prospectus of some of the recent issuances that the instruments have call back provisions by the issuer after a certain period of time (usually 5 – 7 years), there is nothing perpetual about them.
Investors could potentially be a the wrong end of the stick as timing advantage is stacked in favor of the issuers. If general interest rates / risk premium rises in the future, issuers get to enjoy continued cheap funds while investors get stuck with a deppreciated security value. Coversely if interest rates / risk premium falls further, the issuer is at liberty to call back such securities at face after moratorium period and reissues a new set of securities at even lower yields to the market.
While such a mechanism is quite prevalent in the bond market, they are not marketed as “perpetual bonds” and maturity dates, option to call and/or put at various junctures are clearly stated upfront.
ReplyHi Martin,
Appreciate if you could tell me is there any difference between perpertual security (bond} and a preference share ? I am not quite clear with definition as I read somewhere preferred or preference shares are perpertual bonds.
I read yesterday ST, page 34 of INVEST. It said “It is harder to sell a perpertual security than a common or preference share. ” So it impled that preference share is different from perpertual bond. Under what category then is “UOB 5.05%NCPS 100”. This Non cumulative non convertible Preference Share is this a Perpertual Security? Thank You.
Regards,
Peter
The fact that they are officially not treated as debt on the balance sheets should tell you something. Perpetual bonds should be treated as cumulative preference shares at best. By encouraging colloquially the entire S’pore to treat it as bonds, this serves to purposely lower their inherent risk and to lower the interest rate that otherwise will be demanded of such shares. Long term interest rates are at their lowest in 100 years. Any increase in long term interest rates will result in capital losses in such shares e.g. 1% increase in long-term rates = 10% drop in prices. Such shares will only do moderately well if there is a major recession or Great Depression 2 AND the company doesn’t go bankrupt.
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