Leave a Comment:
3 comments
Dear Martin
Thank you so much for sharing with us your thoughts and insights on MIIF. Hope you dont mind I digress a little. I understand both the UOB 5.05 preference share and OCBC 5.1% has a call date in 2013. But am I right to say that if OCBC doesnt call back in 2013 it can redeem during any payment thereafter but if UOB doest redeem in 2013 it will not redeem till another 5 years?
May I ask, in your view, how likely is it that they will redeem it? Thank you so much.
ReplyHaha such independent advisors are seldom commissioned because of the value of their advice, rather this is usually some form of “cover backside” operation for the independent directors so that in the event of being audited by regulators or questioned by shareholders, they can conveniently push everything to the 3rd party advisors.
In my company, we pay big bucks to some Compensation & Remuneration advisors to come up with pay & bonus recommendations although it is very straight forward. Everytime AGM somebody make noise about the pay, the Directors happily point to the fact that it is based on market best practice as advised by “independent” consultants.
For MIIF, other than CXP which its controlling shareholder PANU might be interested, most of its other assets are probably illiquid. PANU has an upper hand in negotiation as MIIF only has minority beneficial instead of legal interest and this is a big turn off to companies seeking market expansion, synergy or transfer of O&M know-how.
HNE – Adverse regulatory conditions, highly doubtful the book value is accurate. Unsustainable capital structure that will require some entity like CMHP who is able to re-arrange the entire loan portfolio with reasonable costs and take a hit on the cashflow during gestation while loans are being amortized.
TBC – Decent performance with some refinancing risks coming up, should be sellable at fair value if MIIF is patient. The problem with TBC though is that it is a smaller player in Taiwan and currently the telcom market there is not a popular place among big telcos to penetrate. With limited synergies and lack of interest among big telcos, the only plausible buyers are private equities or conglomerates, but then these buyers are going to pay only “fair but not compelling” (thanks to F&N IFAs) price for TBC at best
Miaoli – Should just default on debt and fold up
The alternative is to do a packaged sale of the entire MIIF portfolio, but given the unusual mix of assets, it would be difficult to find a willing buyer.
ReplyDear Jimmy,
I agree with you totally on the “cover backside” portion… Assets will not be easy to divest so I don’t see much that is going to happen for now….
Reply