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In recent weeks, the yield of 10Y SGS has been way below 2.5%. Right now, it is only about 2.0%. With GE coming, govt is not going to do anything that will piss off millions of Singaporeans! ha ha.
Personally, I don’t think CPF will start using the new SMRA interest formula until the yield of 10YSGS reaches nearer 2.9%, or until the US Fed raises short term rates by 100 basis points. We can safely wait until well into 2012.
On another note, the persistently low (and getting lower) yields of 10YSGS and US 10Y treasuries means that many people have strong doubts about the economic recovery. For those in risk assets, do keep a close eye on your stops.
ReplyNote that they only extended it one year. They might not do so again after the GE.
If you think they will only start using the new formula if it reaches 2.9%, think again. Then wouldn’t it defeat their purpose of changing the formula in the first place?
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